Marlyn Glen MSP

Icon

Scottish Labour MSP for North East Scotland

Working age population set to fall despite increase in pension age

23 July 2010

The percentage of the population of Dundee who are of working age will fall to 60 per cent in two decades’ time despite current proposals to increase the state pension age for both men and women from 65 to 66 between April 2024 and April 2026

An answer to a Parliamentary question tabled by Marlyn Glen indicated that in the middle of 2009, 62.6 per cent of the population of Dundee City was of working age.

By 2033, the projections published by the General Register Office for Scotland suggest that 60.2 per cent of the population of Dundee City will be of working age, assuming that the planned increases in the working age to 66 years are implemented.

The population of Dundee is forecast to fall to 135,200 in 2033 from its 208 level of 142,500.

Ms. Glen said that the increased numbers of those of retirement age “presents issues for today about how we plan for levels of care for the elderly of the future.”

” Healthy life expectancy is the number of years that people can expect to enjoy ‘good health’ and will be a major factor in determining the level of care,” she said.

“If the number of years of ill-health decreases then the effect on the provision of care will be lower than if the number of years of ill-health increases. ”

For Dundee males, life expectancy is currently estimated at 71.8 years, and healthy life expectancy at 64.6 years.

This means that the number of years “not spent in good health was 7.2 years”
The comparable Scottish figure for males is less, and estimated to be 7.0 years.

For Dundee females, life expectancy was estimated at 78.0 , and healthy life expectancy at 68.8 years.
This means that the number of years ” not spent in good health” was 9.2 years.

The comparable Scottish figures for females is less, and estimated at 8.5 years.
She added that the Scottish Government is currently holding a consultation on rethinking ways of providing care for older people.

SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT
WRITTEN ANSWER 14 July 2010

Index Heading: Finance and Sustainable Growth
Marlyn Glen : To ask the Scottish Executive what percentage of the population was of working age in Dundee in the last year for which information is available and what that percentage will be in 2033 if current proposals to increase the pensionable age are implemented.

Mr Jim Mather :
In mid-2009, 62.6 per cent of the population of Dundee City was of working age. In 2033, the projections published by the General Register Office for Scotland suggest that 60.2 per cent of the population of Dundee City will be of working age, assuming that the planned increases in the working age to 66 years are implemented.

Advertisements

Filed under: Uncategorized

%d bloggers like this: